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Table 2 Model input values

From: Demonstration of high value care to improve oral health of a remote Indigenous community in Australia

Variable

Base case

Low value

High value

Distribution

Reference

Probabilities (P)

 P of Caries in comparison

0.80

0.74

0.85

Beta

Study data

 P of Caries in intervention

0.71

0.65

0.78

Beta

Study data

 P of new caries in comparison

63.7a

35.7a

71.4a

Beta

Study data

 P of new caries in intervention

47.9a

31.6a

54.5a

Beta

Study data

 P of seek treatment in comparison

0.68

0.63

0.73

Triangular

Ref

 P of seek treatment in intervention

0.90

0.68

100

Triangular

Study data and ref

 P of restorations

0.40

−15%

+ 15%

–

Study data

 P of extractions

0.06

−15%

+ 15%

–

Study data

 P of pulp therapy

0.04

−15%

+ 15%

–

Study data

Cost

 Cost of examination

$53

48

78

–

QH

 Cost of restoration

$145

117

229

Gamma

QH

 Cost extraction

$195

84

442

–

QH

 Cost of pulp therapy

$77

31

538

–

QH

 Cost of fissure sealant

$47

42

47

–

QH

 Cost of radiography

$38

31

95

–

QH

 Cost of varnish

$30

–

–

–

QH

 Cost of plaque removal

$55

–

–

–

QH

 Cost of calculus removal

$91

82

91

–

QH

 Cost of oral hygiene instructions

$50

–

–

 

QH

 Cost of dietary advice

$37

–

–

–

QH

Utility

 Utility of caries

0.87

0.8

0.9

–

Study data and [17]

 Utility of health

1.00

0.95

1.0

–

 
  1. aobserved probability after 2 year follow up period